Appendix B: Payment Amounts Generated by the Proposed Plans.

Sources:

Payment amounts: Attachment to Pacific Bell Telephone Company's (U 1001 C) Opening Comments on Performance Remedies Plan (May 18, 2001). Filed May 18, 2001, Pacific Bell Telephone Company.

Graphed aggregate failure rates: Calculated by staff using program and data files provided by Pacific Bell.

				5/7/2001
Results from the Pacific Plan on Real Data without Logs
		Mitigation and Conditional Failure			Mitigation and No Conditional Failure			No Mitigation and Conditional Failure			No Mitigation and No Conditional Failure
Year	Month	Tier I	Tier II	Total	Tier I	Tier II	Total	Tier I	Tier II	Total	Tier I	Tier II	Total
2000	Jan	$52,400	$12,000	$64,400	$52,400	$0	$52,400	$164,300	$28,000	$192,300	$164,300	$0	$164,300
2000	Feb	$37,150	$7,500	$44,650	$37,150	$0	$37,150	$108,550	$9,500	$118,050	$108,550	$0	$108,550
2000	Mar	$28,450	$5,000	$33,450	$28,450	$0	$28,450	$82,300	$7,500	$89,800	$82,300	$0	$82,300
2000	Apr	$28,050	$4,500	$32,550	$28,050	$0	$28,050	$104,600	$6,500	$111,100	$104,600	$0	$104,600
2000	May	$28,900	$4,000	$32,900	$28,900	$0	$28,900	$96,200	$6,500	$102,700	$96,200	$0	$96,200
2000	Jun	$25,750	$6,500	$32,250	$25,750	$0	$25,750	$101,200	$9,000	$110,200	$101,200	$0	$101,200
2000	Jul	$33,300	$7,000	$40,300	$33,300	$0	$33,300	$113,650	$9,000	$122,650	$113,650	$0	$113,650
2000	Aug	$38,150	$10,000	$48,150	$38,150	$0	$38,150	$136,200	$12,000	$148,200	$136,200	$0	$136,200
2000	Sep	$34,050	$8,500	$42,550	$34,050	$0	$34,050	$128,800	$10,500	$139,300	$128,800	$0	$128,800
2000	Oct	$39,150	$11,000	$50,150	$39,150	$0	$39,150	$110,850	$13,000	$123,850	$110,850	$0	$110,850
2000	Nov	$30,900	$11,000	$41,900	$30,900	$0	$30,900	$115,650	$13,000	$128,650	$115,650	$0	$115,650
2000	Dec	$29,150	$5,500	$34,650	$29,150	$0	$29,150	$96,450	$7,500	$103,950	$96,450	$0	$96,450
Total		$405,400	$92,500	$497,900	$405,400	$0	$405,400	$1,358,750	$132,000	$1,490,750	$1,358,750	$0	$1,358,750
	Avg	$33,783	$7,708	$41,492	$33,783	$0	$33,783	$113,229	$11,000	$124,229	$113,229	$0	$113,229
Results from the Pacific Plan on Real Data with Logs
		Mitigation and Conditional Failure			Mitigation and No Conditional Failure			No Mitigation and Conditional Failure			No Mitigation and No Conditional Failure
Year	Month	Tier I	Tier II	Total	Tier I	Tier II	Total	Tier I	Tier II	Total	Tier I	Tier II	Total
2000	Oct	$41,750	$11,500	$53,250	$41,750	$0	$41,750	$128,200	$13,500	$141,700	$128,200	$0	$128,200
2000	Nov	$40,900	$12,000	$52,900	$40,900	$0	$40,900	$149,150	$14,000	$163,150	$149,150	$0	$149,150
2000	Dec	$38,550	$8,000	$46,550	$38,550	$0	$38,550	$123,400	$10,000	$133,400	$123,400	$0	$123,400
Total		$427,400	$96,500	$523,900	$427,400	$0	$427,400	$1,436,550	$136,000	$1,572,550	$1,436,550	$0	$1,436,550

5/11 REVISED CLEC PLAN				5/15/2001
Results from the CLEC Plan on Real Data without Logs
		Mitigation and Conditional Failure			Mitigation and No Conditional Failure			No Mitigation and Conditional Failure			No Mitigation and No Conditional Failure
Year	Month	Tier I	Tier II	Total	Tier I	Tier II	Total	Tier I	Tier II	Total	Tier I	Tier II	Total
2000	Jan	$4,677,944	$4,126,673	$8,804,617	$4,640,444	$4,087,503	$8,727,947	$4,771,919	$4,126,673	$8,898,592	$4,679,337	$4,087,503	$8,766,839
2000	Feb	$3,420,514	$3,750,714	$7,171,229	$3,383,225	$3,711,466	$7,094,692	$3,546,613	$3,750,714	$7,297,327	$3,450,447	$3,711,466	$7,161,913
2000	Mar	$3,402,581	$3,600,408	$7,002,989	$3,355,144	$3,449,780	$6,804,925	$3,499,307	$3,600,408	$7,099,715	$3,417,984	$3,449,780	$6,867,765
2000	Apr	$3,990,822	$3,809,043	$7,799,866	$3,911,896	$3,754,165	$7,666,061	$4,109,129	$3,809,043	$7,918,172	$3,969,809	$3,754,165	$7,723,974
2000	May	$4,108,831	$3,033,594	$7,142,426	$4,077,224	$3,020,808	$7,098,033	$4,201,633	$3,033,594	$7,235,228	$4,129,394	$3,020,808	$7,150,203
2000	Jun	$4,553,750	$3,953,712	$8,507,462	$4,464,562	$3,927,309	$8,391,871	$4,683,618	$3,953,712	$8,637,330	$4,547,229	$3,927,309	$8,474,538
2000	Jul	$3,395,739	$3,132,964	$6,528,703	$3,341,272	$3,080,467	$6,421,739	$3,516,469	$3,132,964	$6,649,434	$3,405,554	$3,080,467	$6,486,021
2000	Aug	$4,584,810	$4,480,216	$9,065,026	$4,494,537	$4,277,437	$8,771,974	$4,781,330	$4,480,216	$9,261,546	$4,598,029	$4,277,437	$8,875,467
2000	Sep	$4,570,444	$4,179,979	$8,750,423	$4,524,723	$4,152,586	$8,677,308	$4,706,468	$4,179,979	$8,886,447	$4,588,281	$4,152,586	$8,740,867
2000	Oct	$4,083,838	$4,786,303	$8,870,141	$4,000,724	$4,661,303	$8,662,028	$4,201,199	$4,786,303	$8,987,502	$4,060,651	$4,661,303	$8,721,954
2000	Nov	$3,810,718	$4,339,456	$8,150,174	$3,651,799	$4,298,232	$7,950,031	$3,939,890	$4,339,456	$8,279,345	$3,744,905	$4,298,232	$8,043,136
2000	Dec	$4,045,131	$3,532,986	$7,578,117	$3,974,544	$3,520,399	$7,494,944	$4,136,295	$3,532,986	$7,669,281	$4,023,263	$3,520,399	$7,543,662
Total		$48,645,123	$46,726,049	$95,371,173	$47,820,095	$45,941,456	$93,761,551	$50,093,869	$46,726,049	$96,819,919	$48,614,883	$45,941,456	$94,556,339
Results from the CLEC Plan on Real Data with Logs
		Mitigation and Conditional Failure			Mitigation and No Conditional Failure			No Mitigation and Conditional Failure			No Mitigation and No Conditional Failure
Year	Month	Tier I	Tier II	Total	Tier I	Tier II	Total	Tier I	Tier II	Total	Tier I	Tier II	Total
2000	Oct	$4,475,533	$5,300,023	$9,775,556	$4,372,795	$5,170,322	$9,543,116	$4,618,196	$5,300,023	$9,918,220	$4,440,998	$5,170,322	$9,611,320
2000	Nov	$4,757,330	$4,924,324	$9,681,653	$4,654,107	$4,884,769	$9,538,877	$4,898,140	$4,924,324	$9,822,463	$4,723,539	$4,884,769	$9,608,309
2000	Dec	$4,695,756	$4,078,302	$8,774,058	$4,543,414	$3,887,470	$8,430,884	$4,821,681	$4,078,302	$8,899,983	$4,616,838	$3,887,470	$8,504,308
Total		$50,634,054	$48,369,953	$99,004,007	$49,763,343	$47,404,084	$97,167,427	$52,154,504	$48,369,953	##########	$50,567,441	$47,404,084	$97,971,525

				5/4/2001
		Results from the ORA Plan on Real Data without Logs
Year	Month	Mitigation and Conditional Failure	Mitigation and No Conditional Failure	No Mitigation and Conditional Failure	No Mitigation and No Conditional Failure
2000	Jan	$480,359	$480,359	$480,359	$480,359
2000	Feb	$6,195,173	$6,195,173	$6,195,173	$6,195,173
2000	Mar	$14,651,867	$14,651,867	$14,651,867	$14,651,867
2000	Apr	$8,286,242	$8,286,242	$8,286,242	$8,286,242
2000	May	$1,447,820	$1,447,820	$1,447,820	$1,447,820
2000	Jun	$783,058	$783,058	$783,058	$783,058
2000	Jul	$1,274,248	$1,274,248	$1,274,248	$1,274,248
2000	Aug	$689,755	$689,755	$689,755	$689,755
2000	Sep	$13,232,020	$13,232,020	$13,232,020	$13,232,020
2000	Oct	$2,472,857	$2,472,857	$2,472,857	$2,472,857
2000	Nov	$1,957,299	$1,957,299	$1,957,299	$1,957,299
2000	Dec	$1,003,870	$1,003,870	$1,003,870	$1,003,870
Total		$52,474,567	$52,474,567	$52,474,567	$52,474,567
		Results from the ORA Plan on Real Data with Logs
Year	Month	Mitigation and Conditional Failure	Mitigation and No Conditional Failure	No Mitigation and Conditional Failure	No Mitigation and No Conditional Failure
2000	Oct	$2,687,169	$2,687,169	$2,687,169	$2,687,169
2000	Nov	$2,345,315	$2,345,315	$2,345,315	$2,345,315
2000	Dec	$2,238,154	$2,238,154	$2,238,154	$2,238,154
Total		$54,311,179	$54,311,179	$54,311,179	$54,311,179

				5/17/2001
Results from the Verizon Plan on Real Data without Logs
		Mitigation and Conditional Failure			Mitigation and No Conditional Failure			No Mitigation and Conditional Failure			No Mitigation and No Conditional Failure
Year	Month	Tier I	Tier II	Total	Tier I	Tier II	Total	Tier I	Tier II	Total	Tier I	Tier II	Total
2000	Jan	$239,916	$1,978	$241,894	$239,916	$0	$239,916	$249,327	$1,978	$251,305	$249,327	$0	$249,327
2000	Feb	$6,576,514	$1,160	$6,577,674	$6,576,514	$0	$6,576,514	$8,927,055	$1,160	$8,928,215	$8,927,055	$0	$8,927,055
2000	Mar	$2,499,795	$721	$2,500,516	$2,499,795	$0	$2,499,795	$2,691,077	$721	$2,691,798	$2,691,077	$0	$2,691,077
2000	Apr	$1,548,027	$675	$1,548,702	$1,548,027	$0	$1,548,027	$5,413,374	$675	$5,414,049	$5,413,374	$0	$5,413,374
2000	May	$297,482	$575	$298,057	$297,482	$0	$297,482	$562,944	$575	$563,519	$562,944	$0	$562,944
2000	Jun	$699,323	$953	$700,276	$699,323	$0	$699,323	$703,571	$953	$704,524	$703,571	$0	$703,571
2000	Jul	$414,511	$1,145	$415,656	$414,511	$0	$414,511	$397,468	$1,145	$398,614	$397,468	$0	$397,468
2000	Aug	$3,546,966	$1,596	$3,548,562	$3,546,966	$0	$3,546,966	$3,507,712	$1,596	$3,509,308	$3,507,712	$0	$3,507,712
2000	Sep	$1,107,414	$1,347	$1,108,761	$1,107,414	$0	$1,107,414	$1,021,098	$1,347	$1,022,445	$1,021,098	$0	$1,021,098
2000	Oct	$4,918,657	$1,695	$4,920,352	$4,918,657	$0	$4,918,657	$4,661,707	$1,695	$4,663,402	$4,661,707	$0	$4,661,707
2000	Nov	$911,677	$1,719	$913,396	$911,677	$0	$911,677	$701,546	$1,719	$703,265	$701,546	$0	$701,546
2000	Dec	$753,999	$851	$754,850	$753,999	$0	$753,999	$533,647	$851	$534,498	$533,647	$0	$533,647
Total		$23,514,281	$14,414	$23,528,695	$23,514,281	$0	$23,514,281	$29,370,526	$14,414	$29,384,940	$29,370,526	$0	$29,370,526
Results from the Verizon Plan on Real Data with Logs
		Mitigation and Conditional Failure			Mitigation and No Conditional Failure			No Mitigation and Conditional Failure			No Mitigation and No Conditional Failure
Year	Month	Tier I	Tier II	Total	Tier I	Tier II	Total	Tier I	Tier II	Total	Tier I	Tier II	Total
2000	Oct	$4,968,175	$1,772	$4,969,947	$4,968,175	$0	$4,968,175	$4,727,610	$1,772	$4,729,382	$4,727,610	$0	$4,727,610
2000	Nov	$970,826	$1,875	$972,701	$970,826	$0	$970,826	$694,587	$1,875	$696,462	$694,587	$0	$694,587
2000	Dec	$835,328	$1,237	$836,565	$835,328	$0	$835,328	$595,984	$1,237	$597,221	$595,984	$0	$595,984
Total		$23,704,276	$15,034	$23,719,311	$23,704,276	$0	$23,704,276	$29,491,807	$15,034	$29,506,841	$29,491,807	$0	$29,491,807

				5/17/2001
		Results from Simulated Data
		Mitigation and Conditional Failure			Mitigation and No Conditional Failure			No Mitigation and Conditional Failure			No Mitigation and No Conditional Failure
	Scenario	Tier I	Tier II	Total	Tier I	Tier II	Total	Tier I	Tier II	Total	Tier I	Tier II	Total
Pacific	A	$10,486	$28	$10,514	$10,486	$0	$10,486	$67,656	$1,167	$68,822	$67,656	$0	$67,656
	B	$145,775	$47,333	$193,108	$145,775	$0	$145,775	$409,867	$74,000	$483,867	$409,867	$0	$409,867
	C	$772,194	$420,667	$1,192,861	$772,194	$0	$772,194	$2,119,675	$462,222	$2,581,897	$2,119,675	$0	$2,119,675
	D	$5,905,283	$1,510,222	$7,415,506	$5,905,283	$0	$5,905,283	$8,850,008	$1,538,667	$10,388,675	$8,850,008	$0	$8,850,008
		Mitigation and Conditional Failure			Mitigation and No Conditional Failure			No Mitigation and Conditional Failure			No Mitigation and No Conditional Failure
	Scenario	Tier I	Tier II	Total	Tier I	Tier II	Total	Tier I	Tier II	Total	Tier I	Tier II	Total
CLEC	A	$2,672,580	$574,900	$3,247,479	$2,564,531	$528,879	$3,093,410	$2,935,031	$574,900	$3,509,931	$2,722,515	$528,879	$3,251,394
	B	$7,282,435	$7,116,099	$14,398,534	$6,993,435	$6,988,307	$13,981,742	$7,552,789	$7,116,099	$14,668,888	$7,162,742	$6,988,307	$14,151,049
	C	$12,289,368	$13,733,851	$26,023,218	$11,748,467	$13,258,808	$25,007,275	$12,585,647	$13,733,851	$26,319,498	$11,939,778	$13,258,808	$25,198,586
	D	$22,509,064	$26,361,808	$48,870,872	$21,393,516	$25,674,070	$47,067,586	$22,834,535	$26,361,808	$49,196,343	$21,615,928	$25,674,070	$47,289,998
	Scenario	Mitigation and Conditional Failure	Mitigation and No Conditional Failure	No Mitigation and Conditional Failure	No Mitigation and No Conditional Failure
ORA	A	$65,329	$65,329	$65,329	$65,329
	B	$401,540	$401,540	$401,540	$401,540
	C	$639,355	$639,355	$639,355	$639,355
	D	$1,250,400	$1,250,400	$1,250,400	$1,250,400
		Mitigation and Conditional Failure			Mitigation and No Conditional Failure			No Mitigation and Conditional Failure			No Mitigation and No Conditional Failure
	Scenario	Tier I	Tier II	Total	Tier I	Tier II	Total	Tier I	Tier II	Total	Tier I	Tier II	Total
Verizon	A	$81,835	$0	$81,835	$81,835	$0	$81,835	$200,591	$0	$200,591	$200,591	$0	$200,591
	B	$3,343,006	$3,603	$3,346,609	$3,343,006	$0	$3,343,006	$2,355,210	$3,603	$2,358,813	$2,355,210	$0	$2,355,210
	C	$6,281,303	$7,656	$6,288,959	$6,281,303	$0	$6,281,303	$4,507,864	$7,656	$4,515,520	$4,507,864	$0	$4,507,864
	D	$12,929,103	$14,697	$12,943,800	$12,929,103	$0	$12,929,103	$8,535,089	$14,697	$8,549,786	$8,535,089	$0	$8,535,089

			4/26/2001
Failure Rates by Scenario
Scenario	Miss	Chronic	Extended
A	7%	0.30%	0.02%
B	14%	5%	3%
C	23%	11%	8%
D	38%	21%	14%
Note:
Miss	Average percentage of observations missed using a 10% alpha for parity measures and the Interim Decision rules for benchmarks
Chronic	The percentage of observations missed for three (or more) consecutive months
Extended	The percentage of observations missed for six (or more) consecutive months

Note: The charts on this and following pages have different vertical scales for payment amounts. The payment amounts differ greatly between plans, and to illustrate each plan's month-to-month variability it was necessary to graph the results on separate charts. The percentage-failure scales on the right side of each graph are the same for all graphs.