Table 3 |
||
Adopted Estimates of Incremental Costs |
||
Incremental Costs | ||
Nominal |
PVRR | |
(Dollars in thousands) | ||
Deployment Costs |
||
Meter Devices (Less HAN and Electromechanical |
$ 310,757 |
$ 486,358 |
Meter Upgrades) |
||
HAN Retrofit |
26,532 |
24,581 |
Electromechanical Meter Retrofit |
18,800 |
20,372 |
Information Technology |
33,600 |
49,793 |
Title 24 Program Costs |
- |
26,174 |
Peak Time Rebate Program Costs |
- |
27,592 |
Project Management |
- |
- |
Training |
1,697 |
1,592 |
Risk Based Allowance |
44,139 |
46,724 |
Subtotal |
$ 435,525 |
$ 683,186 |
Operations and Maintenance Costs |
||
Operations and Maintenance |
$ 4,993 |
$ 42,886 |
Risk Based Allowance |
562 |
503 |
Subtotal |
$ 5,555 |
$ 43,389 |
Other Costs |
||
Technology Assessment |
$ 21,400 |
$ 18,995 |
Risk Based Allowance |
4,280 |
3,445 |
Subtotal |
$ 25,680 |
$ 22,440 |
Total Incremental Costs |
$ 466,760 |
$ 749,015 |
Table 4 |
||||||
Adopted Estimates of Incremental Benefits |
||||||
Incremental Benefits | ||||||
Annualized |
PVRR | |||||
(Dollars in thousands) | ||||||
Operational Benefits |
||||||
Integrated Connect/Disconnect Switches |
||||||
Avoided Field Visits |
$ (6,682) |
$ (114,702) | ||||
Improved Cash Flow |
(969) |
(11,174) | ||||
Reduced Bad Debt |
(2,429) |
(26,756) | ||||
Tax Benefit from Meter Replacement |
n/a |
(11,799) | ||||
Subtotal |
$ (10,080) |
$ (164,431) | ||||
Energy Conservation/Demand Response Benefits |
||||||
Electric Conservation |
n/a |
$ (268,847) |
||||
Gas Conservation |
n/a |
0 | ||||
Peak Time Rebate |
n/a |
(262,916) | ||||
A/C Cycling |
n/a |
(83,427) | ||||
Subtotal |
n/a |
$ (615,190) | ||||
Total Benefits |
n/a |
$ (779,621) |
11.1. Conclusion
The adopted costs and benefits result in a PVRR net benefit of $(30,606,000). By this adopted analysis, the Upgrade is cost effective. However, we note that, when compared to the total Upgrade incremental PVRR cost of $749,015,000, that net benefit is small (only 4.1%). It is insignificant when considering the uncertainties in estimating the PVRR of the Upgrade costs and benefits, especially the conservation and demand response benefits. Changes in only a few assumptions could make the Upgrade cost ineffective or substantially more cost effective. Despite the narrow margin of cost effectiveness reflected in this decision, we feel it is reasonable to authorize PG&E to proceed with the proposed SmartMeter Upgrade, subject to the conditions and costs specified in this decision and will do so. Our judgment is influenced by the results of the cost effectiveness analysis and following additional factors:
· In PG&E's original AMI proceeding, benefits exceeded costs by $104.4 million (4.6%). When looked at on a total basis, it is even more likely that the ratepayers will not be harmed by implementing the Upgrade.
· As described previously by PG&E, on a total basis, the SmartMeter Program compares favorably with what was authorized for SCE and SDG&E. While our adjustments to PG&E's estimates may make that comparison less favorable, it is worthwhile to note that PG&E's costs and cost effectiveness are still in the range of the other two IOUs.
· Authorizing the Upgrade results in a common statewide technology platform for the three IOUs. In general, reasonable consistencies in system components and functionality will facilitate the implementation of consistent demand response and conservation programs, which is desirable.
· The upgraded technology will provide for a technology platform that offers common functionality for PG&E customers, for utility program offerings, and for vendor development of tools, applications, and the expanding market for home energy management devices. Consistency in the marketplace will provide vendors a common set of functionality against which to develop interoperable products that adhere to common standards.
· It is likely that there are other benefits that have not been quantified by PG&E or other benefits that can be realized through the upgrade technology that may arise in the future.