III. Discussion

A. Precedent

1. To complement and enhance the benefits of electric restructuring.

2. To eliminate inappropriate cross-subsidies.

3. To guard against unnecessary barriers to the entry of competitors into various aspects of the natural gas market.

4. To mitigate competitive abuses that may occur because one firm exerts inordinate control over the functioning of the marketplace.

5. To enhance competition by providing separate rates for each major component of utility service and allowing customers to choose to have other firms substitute their services and charges where appropriate.

6. To ensure that the rates customers pay for utility services reflect the cost of those services.

7. To preserve the low-costs currently enjoyed by California natural gas customers.

8. To provide adequate consumer protection.

9. To ensure that natural gas service is safe and reliable.

B. Current Situation

C. Summary of Each Proposed Settlement9

    1. Summary of Interim Settlement10

D. The Legal Standard for Considering Settlements

8 The Gas Accord is the common name of the settlement approved, with modifications, in D.97-08-055. 9 These summaries are not exhaustive recapitulations of every provision of each settlement agreement. 10 The IS is supported by Burlington Resources, the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power, California Industrial Group, California Manufacturers Association, Occidental Energy Marketing Incorporated, Chevron Corporation, Reliant Energy Power Generation, The City of Burbank, San Diego Gas and Electric Company, Southern California Generation Coalition, The City of Glendale, the City of Pasadena, Southern California Utility Power Pool, Southern Energy, Coral Energy Resources, Dynegy, SoCalGas, Southwest Gas, Imperial Irrigation District, and Williams Energy Services. 11 For instance, the California Industrial Group and the California Manufacturers Association (CIG/CMA) and Coral Energy still support the IS if the Commission does not approve the CS. PG&E, an IS signatory, supports both the IS and the CS. The Utility Reform Network (TURN) and the Southern California Generation Coalition (SCGC) support the IS as part of the Post-Interim settlement, but only SCGC was a signatory initially to the IS. Aglet Consumer Alliance (Aglet), though not a signatory, supports the IS as part of the PI. The Department of General Services, though not a signatory, wholeheartedly supports the IS. The position of the other original signatories is not clear, although a number of them support the IS as part of the PI. 12 The PI is supported by TURN, SCGC, Aglet, City of Burbank, City of Glendale, City of Pasadena, Imperial Irrigation District, Los Angeles Department of Water and Power, Reliant Energy Power Generation, Southern California Utility Power Pool, and Williams Energy Services. 13 Under the terms of the PI, if the Commission allows SoCalGas to institute a demand charge as part of a peaking tariff implemented to replace SoCalGas' current Residual Load Service ("RLS") tariff, such a charge shall apply only to partial bypass customers to the extent to which they are subject to the peaking tariff. 14 Parties supporting the CS include: California Cogeneration Council; CIG; California Manufacturers and Technology Association (CMTA, formerly known as CMA); California Utility Buyers; Calpine Corporation; City of Vernon; Coral Energy Resources; Dynegy, Inc.; El Paso Natural Gas (possibly with reservations); Enron, Inc.; GreenMountain.com; Amoco Energy Trading Company; BP Amoco Corporation; Burlington Resources; Chevron U.S.A. Inc.; Conoco Inc.; Occidental Energy Marketing Incorporated; Texaco Natural Gas Inc.; ORA; PG&E, REMAC; SDG&E; Shell Energy Services; Southern California Edison Company (SCE); SoCalGas; Southwest Gas; SPURR; Transwestern Pipeline Company; TXU Energy Services; United Energy Management; Utility.com; Watson Cogeneration Company; Western Hub Properties; Wild Goose Storage Inc. 15 This cost is set at $73.7 million for year 2000; however, this cost is arrived at after shifting $4.1 million in cost to the local transmission system as part of the negotiations. (Ex. 2, Att. 3.) The attributed embedded cost of the backbone system escalates on Jan.1, 2001, pursuant to the PBR formula in D.97-07-054 until the next PBR decision, at which point a new formula, if one is adopted, will be used. 16 Presently, SoCalGas is operating a "windowing system" that may cut back the amount of an initial nomination of gas to be received at each receipt point on the SoCalGas transmission system. 17 CTA is sometimes used interchangeably with CAT marketer in this opinion. 18 SoCalGas Gas Acquisition and CTAs have the same option as all other entities to contract for backbone transmission at the 100% reservation fee rate design or the 50/50 reservation/volumetric rate design. 19 However, until March 31, 2003, there is a cap on the total amount of reliability storage that CTAs as a group may reject. 20 Montebello capacity and costs are not included in the CS. They are left to other Commission proceedings. 21 The core's OFO tolerance level, for chip trading purposes, would be the lesser of 10% of burn or any unused firm storage rights. Also, if an OFO is called for core and noncore on the same day, there can be trading between the classes for that day. SDG&E end-use transportation only customers would be able to trade with any other SDG&E end-use transportation only customer, including SDG&E's Core Gas Supply. 22 SDG&E has already unbundled these costs. 23 If the stranded costs for noncore customers exceed $5 million in 2001, the amounts in excess will be allocated to CTA customers only, and not to the noncore. 24 In other words, the core 10% contribution to noncore ITCS costs would end. 25 The scaler associated with this capacity remains bundled in core transportation rates. 26 "The Parties agree to 50/50 balancing account treatment of unbundled storage revenues." See FoF 9(k) of D.00-04-060. 27 The Noncore Storage Balancing Account provided 100% risk protection for shareholders for unbundled noncore balancing capacity. 28 We note that there are different transportation costs associated with the Redwood Path versus the Baja Path. 29 By inadvertence, the exact implementation cost that derives from intrastate transportation unbundling alone is not in the record because an attachment to Ex. 20, referred to at p. 8, was not actually attached. 30 PG&E's Market Assessment Report of April 28, 1999, submitted in R. 98-01-011, showed that marketers held 37.5% of total subscribed PG&E backbone capacity, including the core reservation. PG&E stated that it had about 1100 noncore non-cogen end-use customers but only 22 held backbone capacity. The remainder were generally being served at the citygate. 31 Ex. 20. 32 In Decision 01-06-086, the Commission authorized SoCalGas to begin work to redesign its La Goleta and Aliso Canyon storage fields, to reduce the amount of cushion gas necessary to maintain current operations and increase injection rates. These figures do not include the approximately 14 bcf additional gas that may be available from this proposal. 33 Montebello capacity and costs are not included in the CS. They are left to other Commission proceedings. 34 The scaler associated with this capacity would remain bundled in core transportation rates. 35 See D.98-03-073, Attachment B, Section III.Q. 36 This reduction allows CTAs in southern California to have the same threshold as those in northern California have under the Gas Accord. It was estimated that 20 to 25 residential customers or 7 to 8 commercial customers could meet this threshold at the Informational Panel on the PG&E Comprehensive Settlement held for this docket on February 24, 2000, Tr. pp. 50-51. 37 In the discussion of billing issues, ESP is used to cover all the gas procurement alternatives available now. These now include ESPs that provide electricity as well as gas. 38 SDG&E has already unbundled these costs. 39 Stranded costs are those costs of the long-term interstate transportation contracts that SoCalGas has with El Paso and Transwestern pipelines that are not covered by the sales of released capacity. 40 See Sections 4.3 and 4.3.1 at p. 7, of the PI. 41 If the stranded costs for noncore customers exceed $5 million in 2001, the amounts in excess will be allocated to CTA customers only, and not to the noncore. 42 In other words, the core 10% contribution to noncore ITCS costs would end. 43 Ex. 20, SoCalGas Response to SCGC Data Request #5, Response to Question 23. 44 The current breakdown in the core transportation-only market is 15 percent residential customers and 85 percent nonresidential customers. (Tr. 119-20 (Florio); see Ex. 112 (TURN).) 45 We are not certain whether this figure includes the effect of an increased brokerage fee value, which we decide against below. 46 (Ex. 2 at pp. 6, 27.) SCGC witness Catherine Yap testified that based upon a market value for released interstate capacity of approximately 40 percent, the annual benefit for core customers would be slightly less than $10 million. (Tr. 111. See also Ex. 4 (Pocta, ORA) at p. 6 ($11.9 million maximum annual benefit).) 47 GreenMountain.com testified on behalf of core aggregators that the elimination of the core portion of [noncore] ITCS was traded for taking on the stranded costs that arise as a result of core interstate transportation unbundling. (Ex. 13, pp. 3-4.) We note that core aggregators had nothing to trade. Core aggregators bore none of the costs of noncore ITCS yet they may gain some of the savings from core interstate unbundling because there is nothing to ensure that core aggregators pass savings on to their customers. 48 $128 million from 1993-1997, and over $35 million amortized in 1997 to 2000 (TURN Opening Brief, p. 9, fn. 7.) 49 See Tr. p. 983. ORA estimated that from 1992 or 1993 through 1998, core customers had paid about $13 million per year. This amounts to $78-91 million. For 1999 through 2001, ORA estimated that core customers could pay about $11-12 million per year, or another $33-36 million. Therefore, through 2001, core customers may have paid $111-127 million in noncore ITCS. 50 In Ex. 2, Attachment 8, CS supporters assume a CAT market share of 10%. Green Mountain.com's Counihan made a rough estimate that the CAT market share might be 5 to 10% in the first year of CS implementation, and this figure might increase to 15 to 30% five years from now. (Tr. p. 1117) SoCalGas' Nelson agreed with those estimates. (Tr. pp. 1118-1119) On the other hand, ORA's Pocta estimated 1 to 2 percentage point increases per year from an initial level of 5 to 10%, so that a "fairly optimistic" estimate might be 15 to 20% in the future. (Tr. pp. 1122-1123) In its Opening Brief, pp. 15-17, TURN expressed doubts that CAT market share would increase much from its current level based on PG&E's experience. Unbundling of interstate capacity for core customers occurred on PG&E's system in 1998, and CAT market share was only about 5% in 1999. (Ex. 113). 51 See Ex. 2, Attachment 8. Core average year throughput in 2002 is forecast at 339,873 MDth while noncore average year throughput (excluding EOR throughput) is forecast at 610,423 MDth. The noncore throughput would represent 64% of the total. 52 The SoCalGas agreements for firm capacity rights on Transwestern expire in October 2005, and on El Paso in September 2006. (See Report of the Statewide Consistency Working Group, Vol. III, p. 49, R.98-01-011.) 53 We recognize that under the uncontested PG&E Comprehensive Settlement, this information is required, at least in the short term. 54 This is a difference between the electric industry and the natural gas industry - there is no "information-only" bill if an ESP performs consolidated billing in the electric industry. 55 Because SDG&E currently offers ESP consolidated billing, ESPs receive avoided cost billing credits from SDG&E of $1.41 for residential customers who receive both gas and electric service from an ESP, and $1.58 for non-residential customers who receive both gas and electric service from an ESP. The additional avoided cost billing credit proposed in the CS for SDG&E reflects gas transportation uncollectible expenses not presently reflected in the existing avoided cost billing credits. 56 We do not here discuss length of term, although we acknowledge that theoretically variable lengths of service at a fixed price would be another service in a competitive market place, because the CS auction for capacity clearly favored longer-term bids. Thus, it is likely, based on the experience in the PG&E Open Season, that all customers truly desiring capacity would be bidding for the full term. 57 Mitigation Measure III.Q provides: "SoCalGas shall propose to the Commission in the upcoming Gas Industry Restructuring proceeding a set of provisions designed to eliminate the need for SoCalGas Gas Acquisition to provide system balancing. If the system reliability and balancing function is separated from SoCalGas Gas Acquisition, all communications between Gas Operations and SoCalGas Gas Acquisition shall be through, and posted contemporaneously on, the GasSelect EBB, except for the telephonic and facsimile communications addressed above in (3). (Remedial Measure 17.)"

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