III. Discussion

A. Precedent

B. Current Situation

C. Summary of Each Proposed Settlement11

1. Summary of Interim Settlement

2. Summary of Post-Interim Settlement14

3. Summary of Comprehensive Settlement

4. Summary of Long Beach Proposal

D. The Legal Standard for Considering Settlements

1. Public Interest

    a) The PI and the Public Interest

2. Reasonable In Light Of The Whole Record

3. Consistent with the Law

    a) Section 1708

E. Decisions on Other Matters Litigated

1. Core Interstate Transportation Capacity Unbundling

2. "Retail" Promising Options

9 The Gas Accord is the common name of the settlement approved, with modifications, in D.97-08-055.

10 The Gas Daily Price Guide May Regional Price Sampler, published in May 2000, listed a mid-point average April price for San Juan/El Paso basin gas of $2.74/Dth, with SoCalGas large packages at $3.01/Dth. The same publication in September 2000 listed a mid-point average August price for San Juan-El Paso as $3.4/Dth, and the SoCalGas large package price at $5.24/Dth. Gas Daily and the associated Gas Daily Price Guide Monthly are well-regarded and widely recognized sources for gas prices in the industry. We take official notice of the prices in the May-October price guides as facts in this case. These prices are also reflected in the charts found in Section III in this decision.

11 These summaries are not exhaustive recapitulations of every provision of each settlement agreement. 12 For instance, CIG/CMA and Coral Energy still support the Interim Settlement if the Commission does not approve the CS. PG&E, an IS signatory, still supports the IS, and not the CS. The Utility Reform Network (TURN) and the Southern California Generation Coalition (SCGC) support the Interim Settlement, both on its own and as part of the post-Interim settlement, but only SCGC was a signatory initially. Aglet, though not a signatory, supports the IS as part of the PI. The Department of General Services, though not a signatory, wholeheartedly supports the Interim Settlement. The position of the other original signatories is not clear, although a number of them support the IS as part of the PI. (See footnote 14.) 13 ORA does not support the IS. 14 The PI is supported by TURN, SCGC, Aglet Consumer Alliance, City of Burbank, City of Glendale, City of Pasadena, Imperial Irrigation District, Los Angeles Department of Water and Power, Reliant Energy Power Generation, Southern California Utility Power Pool, and Williams Energy Services. 15 Under the terms of the PI, if the Commission allows SoCalGas to institute a demand charge as part of a peaking tariff implemented to replace SoCalGas' current Residual Load Service ("RLS") tariff, such a charge shall apply only to partial bypass customers to the extent to which they are subject to the peaking tariff. 16 Parties currently supporting the CS include: California Cogeneration Council; California Industrial Group; California Manufacturers and Technology Association; California Utility Buyers; Calpine Corporation; City of Vernon; Coral Energy Resources; Dynegy, Inc.; El Paso Natural Gas (possibly with reservations); Enron, Inc.; GreenMountain.com; Amoco Energy Trading Company; BP Amoco Corporation; Burlington Resources; Chevron U.S.A. Inc.; Conoco Inc.; Occidental Energy Marketing Incorporated; Texaco Natural Gas Inc.; Office of Ratepayer Advocates; REMAC; San Diego Gas & Electric Company; Shell Energy Services; Southern California Edison Company; Southern California Gas Company; SouthWest Gas Company; SPURR; Transwestern Pipeline Company; TXU Energy Services; United Energy Management; Utility.com; Watson Cogeneration Company; Western Hub Properties; Wild Goose Storage Inc. 17 This cost is set at $73.7 million for year 2000; however, this cost is arrived at after shifting $4.1 million in cost to the local transmission system as part of the negotiations. (Ex. 2, Att.3.) The attributed embedded cost of the backbone system escalates on Jan.1, 2001, pursuant to the PBR formula in D.97-07-054 until the next PBR decision, at which point a new formula, if one is adopted, will be used. 18 Presently, SoCalGas is operating a "windowing system" that may cut back the amount of an initial nomination of gas to be received at each receipt point on the SoCalGas transmission system. 19 CTA is sometimes used interchangeably with CAT marketer in this opinion. 20 SoCalGas Gas Acquisition and CTAs have the same option as all other entities to contract for backbone transmission at the 100% reservation fee rate design or the 50/50 reservation/volumetric rate design. 21 However, until March 31, 2003, there is a cap on the total amount of reliability storage that CTAs as a group may reject. 22 Montebello capacity and costs are not included in the CS. They are left to other Commission proceedings. In other words, the revenue requirement associated with Montebello is still bundled into base margin, subject to further Commission action. 23 The core's OFO tolerance level, for chip trading purposes, would be the lesser of 10% of burn or any unused firm storage rights. Also, if an OFO is called for core and noncore on the same day, there can be trading between the classes for that day. SDG&E end-use transportation only customers would be able to trade with any other SDG&E end-use transportation only customer, including SDG&E's Core Gas Supply. 24 SDG&E has already unbundled these costs. 25 If the stranded costs for noncore customers exceed $5 million in 2001, the amounts in excess will be allocated to CTA customers only, and not to the noncore. 26 In other words, the core 10% contribution to noncore ITCS costs would end. 27 Inclusion of these costs in equal percent of marginal cost (EPMC) scaling or another mechanism to allocate A&G or General Plant overhead costs to all customer classes is not precluded. 28 We note that there are different transportation costs associated with the Redwood Path versus the Baja Path. 29 By inadvertence, the exact implementation cost that derives from intrastate transportation unbundling alone is not in the record because an attachment to Ex. 20, referred to at p.8, was not actually attached. 30 PG&E's Market Assessment Report of April 28, 1999, submitted in R. 98-01-011, showed that marketers held 37.5% of total subscribed PG&E backbone capacity, including the core reservation. PG&E stated that it had about 1100 noncore non-cogen end-use customers but only 22 held backbone capacity. The remainder were generally being served at the Citygate. 31 Ex. 20. 32 PG&E's excess transportation capacity is one condition that is certainly different from SoCalGas. 33 Gas Daily, September 2000, "Record Prices Put Customer Choice Programs on Uncertain Footing." p.2. 34 We do not here discuss length of term, although we acknowledge that theoretically variable lengths of service at a fixed price would be another service in a competitive market place, because the CS auction for capacity clearly favored longer-term bids. Thus, it is likely, based on the experience in the PG&E Open Season, that all customers truly desiring capacity would be bidding for the full term. 35 We take official notice of the following information reported in "Gas Daily," the well-regarded industry information source published by Financial Times Energy. "Gas Daily,"Vol.17, Number 163, p. 2 reports in an article entitled "El Paso lines likely out of service several days"(August 25, 2000), at p. 3 that "El Paso has been able to divert supplies through other parts of its system at about half the volume normally carried on the closed lines, about 500 million cfd." See also, "Gas Daily," Vol.17, Number 165, p. 1 in an article entitled "Calif. bonanza continues...," where it is reported that "The 500 million cf-plus El Paso outage stemming from its mainline rupture was compounded yesterday by a force majeure event on Transwestern Pipeline, which reduced flows into southern California by another 65 million cf." 36 ORA also represents non-residential ratepayers. Non-Sempra wholesale customers that serve both residential and non-residential ratepayers were against the CS during the hearing, although SouthWest Gas decided to support the CS at the time of its final reply brief. CIG/CMA also does not support the CS. 37 We do not view the other options as "off the table." Some, we address separately in this decision. Others, we plan to reassess in light of the experience with the IS, and PG&E's experience with its unbundled system. 38 While this was not an option specifically mentioned in D.99-07-015, we do not choose to stand on that technicality to exclude it from consideration here. Once a proceeding is open to settlement, the dynamics of settlement talks may bring in matters outside the delineated scope, as they have done here with regard to Wheeler Ridge expansion and, for instance, pooling. Both proposals respond to concerns raised in R.98-01-011, (see citations in text above as well as Panel Hearing Testimony of Mr. Benjamin C. Campbell, PG&E, Tr. pp. 267-268, Jan 19, 1999)) and neither was specifically excluded from further consideration in D.99-07-015. We therefore view them as within the scope of this proceeding. To the extent that other receipt points are also viewed as constrained, we welcome evidence to that effect in a future proceeding, as well as proposals for criteria to determine when expansion should be applied for. 39 The scalar associated with this capacity remains bundled in core transportation rates. 40 "The Parties agree to 50/50 balancing account treatment of unbundled storage revenues." See FoF 9(k) of D.00-04-060. 41 The Noncore Storage Balancing Account provided 100% risk protection for shareholders for unbundled noncore balancing capacity. 42 The winter flowing supply requirements continue to apply only to the Gas Acquisition Department and CAT marketers. 43 In the CS, an imbalance cannot be held in the pool even in the first nomination cycle because SoCalGas had second thoughts about the advisability of this provision in the new balancing environment. Recognizing this as a potential problem, we suggest that if SoCalGas concludes that the ability to hold imbalances in a pool for the first nomination cycle is leading to OFOs, it convene the OFO Forum to determine how best to deal with the problem. We put the parties on notice that we will consider a request to revise the tariff on this issue and will not feel bound by the term of the agreement. 44 In the interests of comity, we have sent the proposed decision and attached settlement (Appendix I) to the Legislature as our submission of findings and recommendations. 45 Mitigation Measure III.Q provides: "SoCalGas shall propose to the Commission in the upcoming Gas Industry Restructuring proceeding a set of provisions designed to eliminate the need for SoCalGas Gas Acquisition to provide system balancing. If the system reliability and balancing function is separated from SoCalGas Gas Acquisition, all communications between Gas Operations and SoCalGas Gas Acquisition shall be through, and posted contemporaneously on, the GasSelect EBB, except for the telephonic and facsimile communications addressed above in (3). (Remedial Measure 17.)" 46 SDG&E has already unbundled these costs. 47 Stranded costs are those costs of the long-term interstate transportation contracts that SoCalGas has with El Paso and Transwestern pipelines that are not covered by the sales of released capacity. 48 See Sections 4.3 and 4.3.1 at p. 7, of the PI. 49 If the stranded costs for noncore customers exceed $5 million in 2001, the amounts in excess will be allocated to CTA customers only, and not to the noncore. 50 In other words, the core 10% contribution to ITCS costs would end. 51 Exh. 20, SoCalGas Response to SCGC Data Request #5, Response to Question 23. 52 The current breakdown in the core transportation-only market is 15 percent residential customers and 85 percent nonresidential customers. (Tr. 119-20 (Florio); see Ex. 112 (TURN).) 53 We are not certain whether this figure includes the effect of an increased brokerage fee value, which we decide against below. 54 (Ex. 2 at pp. 6, 27.) SCGC witness Catherine Yap testified that based upon a market value for released interstate capacity of approximately 40 percent, the annual benefit for core customers would be slightly less than $10 million. (Tr. 111. See also Ex. 4 (Pocta, ORA) at p. 6 ($11.9 million maximum annual benefit).) 55 GreenMountain.com testified on behalf of core aggregators that the elimination of the core portion of [noncore] ITCS was traded for taking on the stranded costs that arise as a result of core interstate transportation unbundling. (Exh. 13, pp. 3-4.) We note that core aggregators had nothing to trade. Core aggregators bore none of the costs of noncore ITCS yet they may gain some of the savings from core interstate unbundling because there is nothing to ensure that core aggregators pass savings on to their customers. 56 $128 million from 1993-1997, and over $35 million amortized in 1997 to 2000 (TURN Opening Brief, p.9, fn.7.) 57 See Tr. Pg. 983. ORA estimated that from 1992 or 1993 through 1998, core customers had paid about $13 million per year. This amounts to $78-91 million. For 1999 through 2001, ORA estimated that core customers could pay about $11-12 million per year, or another $33-36 million. Therefore, through 2001, core customers may have paid $111-127 million in noncore ITCS. 58 In Exh. 2, Attachment 8, CS supporters assume a CAT market share of 10%. Green Mountain.com's Counihan made a rough estimate that the CAT market share might be 5 to 10% in the first year of CS implementation, and this figure might increase to 15 to 30% five years from now. (Tr. Pg. 1117) SoCalGas' Nelson agreed with those estimates. (Tr. Pgs. 1118-1119) On the other hand, ORA's Pocta estimated 1 to 2 percentage point increases per year from an initial level of 5 to 10%, so that a "fairly optimistic" estimate might be 15 to 20% in the future. (Tr. Pgs. 1122-1123) In its Opening Brief, pgs. 15-17, TURN expressed doubts that CAT market share would increase much from its current level based on PG&E's experience. Unbundling of interstate capacity for core customers occurred on PG&E's system in 1998, and CAT market share was only about 5% in 1999. (Exh. 113). 59 See Exh. 2, Attachment 8. Core average year throughput in 2002 is forecast as 339,873 MDth while noncore average year throughput (excluding EOR throughput) is forecast as 610,423 MDth. The noncore throughput would represent 64% of the total. 60 The SoCalGas agreements for firm capacity rights on Transwestern expire in October 2005, and on El Paso in September 2006. (See Report of the Statewide Consistency Working Group, Vol. III, pg. 49, R.98-01-011.) 61 This reduction allows CTAs in southern California to have the same threshold as those in northern California have under the Gas Accord. It was estimated that 20 to 25 residential customers or 7 to 8 commercial customers could meet this threshold at the Informational Panel on the PG&E Comprehensive Settlement held for this docket on February 24, 2000, Tr. pp. 50-51. 62 In the discussion of billing issues, energy service provider is used to cover all the gas procurement alternatives available now. These now include ESPs that provide electricity as well as gas. 63 See previously cited Gas Daily article at fn.34; Gas Daily, Vol. 17, Number 140, p.1 (July 24, 2000) "Ga. Marketers Face Losses if Snafus Continue," and Georgia Public Service Commission Rulemaking Docket 12720-U, regarding billing practices in Georgia at http://www.psc.state.ga.us/consumer_corner/gmgbsNOPR.htm. We take official notice of the general facts that companies providing gas in Georgia have gone bankrupt, had billing problems and otherwise failed to deliver needed gas at the prices offered, as well as that the Georgia Public Service Commission has recently decided to promulgate rules concerning billing. 64 We recognize that under the uncontested PG&E Comprehensive Settlement, this information is required, at least in the short term. 65 This is a difference between the electric industry and the natural gas industry - there is no "information-only" bill if an ESP performs consolidated billing in the electric industry. 66 Because SDG&E currently offers ESP consolidated billing, ESPs receive avoided cost billing credits from SDG&E of $1.41 for residential customers who receive both gas and electric service from an ESP, and $1.58 for non-residential customers who receive both gas and electric service from an ESP. The additional avoided cost billing credit proposed in the CS for SDG&E reflects gas transportation uncollectible expenses not presently reflected in the existing avoided cost billing credits.

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