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ATTACHMENT B

Page 1

COMPILATION OF FIGURES SHOWING GREENHOUSE GAS MODELING OF CALIFORNIA'S ELECTRICITY SECTOR

Figure 3-1

2020 GHG Emissions in Three Key Scenarios

Figure 3-2

Utility Costs, Customer Costs, and Average Rates in Three Key Scenarios

ATTACHMENT B

Page 2

Figure 3-3

Sensitivity of 2020 Emissions, Utility Costs, and Average Rates to Load Growth Assumptions

Figure 3-4

Sensitivity of 2020 Emissions, Utility Costs, and Average Rates to Energy Efficiency Savings Assumptions

ATTACHMENT B

Page 3

Figure 3-5

Sensitivity of 2020 Emissions, Utility Costs, and Average Rates

to Natural Gas Price Assumptions

Figure 3-6

PLEXOS Results for WECC Dispatch with WECC-wide Carbon Price

ATTACHMENT B

Page 4

Figure 3-7

Estimates of Retail Provider Costs With a

California-only Multi-sector Cap-and-trade Program

(2008$ in Millions)

Figure 3-8

Estimates of Average Retail Electricity Rates With a

California-only Multi-sector Cap-and-trade Program

($/kWh, 2008$)

ATTACHMENT B

Page 5

Figure 4-1

Electricity Sector Emissions Reduction Potential
Compared to Historical Electricity Sector Emissions

Figure 4-2

Utility Costs, Customer Costs, and Average Rates in Three Key Scenarios

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Page 6

Figure 5-2

Estimates of Effects on Average Retail Electricity Rates Due to Historical Emissions-Based Distributions of Allowances to Deliverers

($/kWh, 2008$)

Figure 5-3

Estimates of Effects on Average Retail Electricity Rates Due to Pure Output-Based Allocation of Allowances to Deliverers, With Inclusion of Full Value of Allowances in Wholesale Prices

($/kWh, 2008$)

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Page 7

Figure 5-4

Estimates of Effects on Average Retail Electricity Rates Due to Pure Output-Based Allocation of Allowances to Deliverers, With Inclusion of 25% of Allowance Value in Wholesale Prices

($/kWh, 2008$)

Figure 5-5

Estimates of Effects on Average Retail Electricity Rates

Due to Output-Based Allocation of Allowances to Emitting Deliverers,

With Inclusion of Full Value of Allowances in Wholesale Prices

($/kWh, 2008$)

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Page 8

Figure 5-6

Estimates of Effects on Average Retail Electricity Rates

Due to Output-Based Allocation of Allowances to Emitting Deliverers,

With Inclusion of 25% of Allowance Value in Wholesale Prices

($/kWh, 2008$)

Figure 5-7
Estimates of Effects on Average Retail Electricity Rates of

Auctions If Retail Providers Receive No Allowances

($/kWh, 2008$)

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Page 9

Figure 5-8

Estimates of Effects on Average Retail Electricity Rates

Due to Allowances Distributed to Retail Providers on the Basis of Historical Emissions

($/kWh, 2008$)

Figure 5-9

Estimates of Effects on Average Retail Electricity Rates

Due to Allowances Distributed to Retail Providers on the Basis of Sales

($/kWh, 2008$)

ATTACHMENT B

Page 10

Figure 5-10

Estimates of Effects on Average Retail Electricity Rates
Due to Recommendations Regarding Auctioning and
Allowance Distributions to Deliverers and Retail Providers

($/kWh, 2008$)

(END OF ATTACHMENT B)

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